you've seen the polls, nationally tight. romney leading. this is an election that will be decided state by satate. how close is this race right now? >> the first debate did shift things. at first a lot of democrats were trying to apiece themselves saying all the movement in the polls is just a bunch of soft republicans who quote, unquote come home to mitt romney. he showed life and all of this, but i have to say the numbers i've seen in talking about campaigns, something shifted fundamentally, and it's a dead heat, but it's one of these but even right after the debate you had the obama caaign, yeah, it's just a dead heat, but we've got all the fundamental advantages in the battleground states and the romney folks would have conceded that. the numbers that have come over the last 72 hours, we're in a real dead heat, and you see that shift. this means, savannah, this debate couldn't be more critical for president obama. if he loses this debate, then you could start seeing momentum just continue to shift to romney, and he would pull ahead in a